Per Noel's post on whether there could be a market in which he could short Geithner's tenure as Secretary of the Treasury, lucky for him (Noel) the good folks at Intrade have already set up such a market.

See the trend here - it looks like the worst for him (Geithner), odds wise, was back in April. That could change however.

One wonders if Geithner would buy/sell in this market and, if he did, would that be considered insider trading?