August 19, 2007
Roach: The subprime bubble is a failure of central banking

Stephen S. Roach (Chairman, Morgan Stanley Asia) on what fed the bubble that is now bursting:

Basking in the warm glow of a successful battle against inflation, central banks decided that easy money was the world's just reward. That set in motion a chain of events that has allowed one bubble to beget another--from equities to housing to credit.

... As the increasing prevalence of bubbles indicates, a failure to recognize the interplay between the state of asset markets and the real economy is an egregious policy error.

That doesn't mean central banks should target asset markets. It does mean, however, that they need to break their one-dimensional fixation on CPI-based inflation and also give careful consideration to the extremes of asset values.

Wise words. Read the whole thing.

I make a similar argument for a target index broader than the CPI here, noting an earlier op-ed piece by Roach.

Hat tip: Bob Murphy

Posted by Lawrence H. White at 12:34 PM in Economics

The statesman who should attempt to direct private people in what manner they ought to employ their capitals would not only load himself with a most unnecessary attention, but assume an authority which could safely be trusted, not only to no single person, but to no council or senate whatever, and which would nowhere be so dangerous as in the hands of a man who had folly and presumption enough to fancy himself fit to exercise it. -Adam Smith

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