December 28, 2006
The broken window effect in gambling c. 1906

The Dec. 28, 1906 NYT reports on a series of gambling raids throughout Manhattan. A police captain reports that two groups of people are "pleased with the raids." The first is comprised of proprietors who have not been raided, as their competition is being removed by the police. The second is the group who make gambling equipment:

Well, the men who manufacturer the gambling paraphernalia are keeping their shops working night and day. That stuff, the roulette tables, poker chips, and all the other devices used in a first-class gambling house, you know, isn't cheap, and there's big profit in it. The more smashing and burning the police do, so much better for the trade, which is in a few hands.
In a partial eqiulibrium sense, the exogenous actions of the police probably did increase the profits of the gambling equipment manufacturer, at least in the short run. This is similar to what happens in today's "wars" on vice. Whether social welfare increased in 1906 or increases in 2006 by preventing people from doing what they want is difficult to determine.

Posted by Craig Depken at 11:30 AM in Economics

The statesman who should attempt to direct private people in what manner they ought to employ their capitals would not only load himself with a most unnecessary attention, but assume an authority which could safely be trusted, not only to no single person, but to no council or senate whatever, and which would nowhere be so dangerous as in the hands of a man who had folly and presumption enough to fancy himself fit to exercise it. -Adam Smith

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