May 24, 2006
How important is Wal-Mart?

I have a question: Can anyone steer me to a source that supports the following assertion, made by Harvard economist Kenneth Rogoff in a recent op-ed?

Consider the following stunning fact: together with a few sister “big box” stores (Target, Best Buy, and Home Depot), Wal-Mart accounts for roughly 50% of America’s much vaunted productivity growth edge over Europe during the last decade. Fifty percent! Similar advances in wholesaling supply chains account for another 25%! The notion that Americans have gotten better at everything while other rich countries have stood still is thus wildly misleading. The US productivity miracle and the emergence of Wal-Mart-style retailing are virtually synonymous.

It's not that I disbelieve it, I just have never seen such a claim made (or defended) before this. Anyone who can shed some light here is invited to either leave a comment or email me -- medebow at samford dot edu

Thanks!

BTW, Rogoff briefly discusses the research of the U. of Minnesota's Thomas Holmes on the reasons for Wal-Mart's success, which includes a pretty cool animation of the firm's growth over time.

Posted by Mike DeBow at 04:44 PM in Economics

Comments

re the 25%, he is referring to some work by McKinsey back in 2003:

http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/article_abstract.aspx?ar=1152&L2=20&L3=75

or this William Lewis book:
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0226476766/002-7785797-0700052?n=283155

Though not sure where the 50% comes from? Maybe something more recent from McKinsey or AT Kearney?

A related study is this one from Global Insight:
http://www.globalinsight.com/MultiClientStudy/MultiClientStudyDetail2438.htm

Posted by: Pablo at May 24, 2006 05:28 PM

The statesman who should attempt to direct private people in what manner they ought to employ their capitals would not only load himself with a most unnecessary attention, but assume an authority which could safely be trusted, not only to no single person, but to no council or senate whatever, and which would nowhere be so dangerous as in the hands of a man who had folly and presumption enough to fancy himself fit to exercise it. -Adam Smith

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