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March 25, 2006
January issue of Public Choice
The most recent issue of Public Choice has some interesting work in it. A paper by Gary Wagner and Russell Sobel underscores the importance of details with institutional design. From campaign finance to public finance, there's more to a reform than whatever catchy name they dream up for it, and there's usually a pig somewhere beneath the lipstick and wig it's dressed up in. In this case, many states began adopting rainy day funds in the early 1980s, ostensibly to stabilize revenue and spending during economic cycles. From the paper's introduction:
And from a few pages later:
Gary and Russ categorize the states based on how stringently policymakers are constrained (by TEL or other) regarding budget surpluses. In a 1945-1996 panel, they estimate states' adoption decisions. Results show that stricter restraints increase the likelihood of adoption. Recession variables matter, too, but less so. Interestingly, the stricter restraints are best at explaining adoption by statute (i.e. by policymakers). The evidence suggests that rainy day funds were more about policymaker discretion than macro smoothing. At the very least, the paper undermines the standard wisdom that rainy day funds were public interest responses to the 1980-82 business cycle. On a side note, Russ was out here to SJSU a couple of weeks ago. He presented a very cool paper (with Brian Osoba) on youth gangs as pseudo governments that are caused by, rather than causing, violence. Craig and his UTA colleague Courtney Lafountain have an article in the same issue that is noteworthy in that it examines corruption at the U.S. state level. More corrupt state, lower bond rating, higher interest rate for taxpayer debt. No bueno. On a dubious note, an article appears as such:
(open URL here) And no, it's not studying those who cut loose but those who lose out. Posted by Edward J. Lopez at 08:54 PM
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The statesman who should attempt to direct private people in what manner they ought to employ their capitals would not only load himself with a most unnecessary attention, but assume an authority which could safely be trusted, not only to no single person, but to no council or senate whatever, and which would nowhere be so dangerous as in the hands of a man who had folly and presumption enough to fancy himself fit to exercise it. -Adam Smith
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